Free Pick NFL: Carolina Panthers – New Orleans Saints

Panthers are 3-6 after an amazing season (last year) where they dominated the NFL but lose in the top moment, the Super Bowl, against one of the toughest defense in the league, the Broncos.
This year they appear like a total different team but they not changed so much. They started really bad (1-4) and in last period they was little bit better with 2 wins in last 3 games. They won against Cardinals (another team in big trouble) at home for 30-20 and against the Rams, in LA, in a really bad (to watch) game ended 10-13 for the Panthers.
In last one, another key match for them, for the standings, they lose against the Chiefs at home with a comeback of KC who won for 3 points (17-20) after a decent start of the Panthers.For tonight they will have probably out, again, center Kalil and the problem is that also his replacement, the young Gadkowski, is questionable and haven’t practiced in all the days before this game. Also Jones, Klein and Oher are out.
They played (and lose) few weeks ago against the Saints in an high score game ended with a big pathos in final quarter with a win of the Saints for 41-38. Olsen and Benjamin, but also the same Newton are the top target of the team (maybe an eye also on Stewart because the Saints can suffer, like the first game, with his running game).

Saints are, more or less, with a similar record of the Panthers (4-5) but they won 3 times in last 5 games and with a little bit of luck they could have won also the last home game against the Broncos where they missed (or Broncos blocked, it’s a point of view) the FG for the win in last minutes of play.
They are a really good team in offense, with Brees always focused on the passing game. The defense is the problem also with the return of two important players like Vaccaro (who could face a ban for 4 game but tonight will play) and Ellerbe.
But imho they will have still problems in that part of the field.

I will expect another game with so many points, another really good game, very watchable and i think that it’s a good attempt to take this over line, but i also think that the Panthers will win this one.

Over 47,5 @1,57 (23-20)
or
Panthers ML @1,59  (23-20)