Fiorentina is in trouble this year and also the ambiental situation is not very good.
Paulo Sousa is likely to go away at the end of this season and the last position valid for an EL place is now very far (9 points).
For today Sousa can count on Kalinic who will start with Bernardeschi and Saponara but also with Tello and Chiesa on both sides, so an offensive lineup at all.
At home they are 6-7-0 and for me today they can take the 3 points.
Cagliari is another team, more or less, in a safety zone.
For all this year they had a lot of trouble in defense, especially when they play against top teams with more quality of them. In fact they allowed 5 goals to Fiorentina, Inter, Torino and Napoli and against Fiorentina, at home, they lose 1-5.
In fact for today Rastelli should start with a 4-4-1-1 with Di Gennaro in the back of Borriello and with Barella and Padoin on both sides in the midfield.
For me the difference of quality is on Fiorentina side and i take my shot on them.
Fiorentina -1 AH @1.72 (1-0)